About GoalStatsHub
GoalStatsHub is an independent football statistics site that publishes model-based match probabilities, team statistics and form for European leagues, free of charge.
What we do
GoalStatsHub puts the numbers behind a football match in one place. For every fixture we cover, you'll find:
- Match probabilities for the result, goals, both teams to score, exact scores, half-time, corners and cards.
- Team statistics: goals scored and conceded, home and away splits, averages and streaks.
- Form and head-to-head records, including previous meetings between the two clubs.
- Referee statistics, when available.
Coverage includes the Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A and Ligue 1, plus many other domestic leagues and cups. The Matches page covers today and two days either side. The Tips page puts the key figures for today and the next two days on one short board.
Why we built it
Most football prediction sites say what will happen but not why, and not how sure they are. We wanted the opposite:
- every figure published as a plain probability;
- the data behind it one click away;
- results left on the page after the final whistle, whether the prediction was right or wrong.
If a site only shows its winners, you can't judge it. Here you can see all of it.
How the predictions are made
Our predictions come from a statistical model, not from pundits' opinions. It estimates how many goals each team is likely to score, based on:
- scoring and conceding records;
- home and away performance;
- recent form;
- previous meetings.
From that estimate it builds the probability of every realistic scoreline. Each match also shows a confidence level, so you can see when the model had little data to work with. The full methodology and a guide to every market are on our How it works page.
Our principles
- Free to use. We don't sell tips, run paid subscriptions or ask for payment. The site is funded by advertising.
- Independent. We are not a bookmaker and we don't take bets. No betting operator decides what we publish.
- Transparent. Predictions are published before kick-off and marked as landed or missed afterwards. Estimates from outside data providers are labelled and kept out of our own results.
- Responsible. Football is unpredictable and no model changes that. Our content is for adults (18+) and is information, not advice. Please read our responsible gambling page.
Data sources
Fixtures, results and match statistics come from third-party sports data providers. Our own systems then process them. Scores are updated during the day. A short delay compared with live broadcasts is still possible, so check the official competition sources for anything time-critical.
Get in touch
We welcome corrections, suggestions and questions. See our contact page or email [email protected].