Results vs predictions, 27 Oct 2026: favourites won 7 of 12
How our pre-match predictions held up on Tuesday, 27 October 2026: 7 of 12 favourites won, with goals, both teams to score and suggested bets settled against the final scores.
By Adam from Poland · · Compiled automatically from our published predictions and the final scores
The day in numbers
12 matches with our own pre-match predictions finished on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, across 7 competitions in 7 countries.
The outcome our model rated most likely came in 7 times out of 12 (58%). On average it gave those picks 60%, so they landed roughly what those probabilities implied. On a sample this small a few results either way move the rate a lot, so read it as one day, not a trend.
Calls that landed
4 favourites rated at 60% or more won, and 2 final scores were among the three exact scores we listed.
- Meistriliiga (Estonia): Levadia 2 - 1 Tammeka. The model rated a win for Levadia at 91%.
- Serie A (Italy): Sassuolo 2 - 6 Lazio. The model rated a win for Lazio at 78%.
- HNL (Croatia): Din. Zagreb 2 - 1 Rijeka. The model rated a win for Din. Zagreb at 76%.
- Serie A (Italy): AS Roma 4 - 2 Cagliari. The model rated a win for AS Roma at 73%.
- 1. SNL (Slovenia): Radomlje 1 - 1 Mura was our second most likely exact score, at 7.1%.
- First League (Bulgaria): Arda 1 - 1 Levski Sofia was our third most likely exact score, at 10.4%.
Goals
There were 44 goals in 12 matches, 3.7 per game.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 matches (67%), against an average model probability of 56%.
Both teams scored in 9 (75%), against an average model probability of 50%.
The highest-scoring game was Sassuolo 2 - 6 Lazio in the Serie A (Italy); the model had over 2.5 goals there at 53%.
Suggested bets
19 of the 26 suggested bets we published for these matches landed (73%). They include results, double chances, goal lines and combinations of the two, so the rate mixes very different prices; it is a record, not a profit figure.
By competition
| Competition | Matches | Favourites won | Goals per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A (Italy) | 3 | 3 of 3 | 6.0 |
| 1. SNL (Slovenia) | 2 | 0 of 2 | 3.0 |
| First League (Bulgaria) | 2 | 1 of 2 | 2.0 |
| Meistriliiga (Estonia) | 2 | 1 of 2 | 2.0 |
All results
Pre-match probabilities for a home win, draw and away win, with the outcome the model rated most likely in bold.
| Match | Score | Home / Draw / Away | Favourite |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cherno More vs Septemvri Sofia First League (Bulgaria) | 2 - 0 | 41% / 26% / 33% | Home ✓ (landed) |
| Levadia vs Tammeka Meistriliiga (Estonia) | 2 - 1 | 91% / 7% / 2% | Home ✓ (landed) |
| Narva vs Nomme Utd Meistriliiga (Estonia) | 0 - 1 | 40% / 26% / 34% | Home ✗ (missed) |
| Radomlje vs Mura 1. SNL (Slovenia) | 1 - 1 | 24% / 20% / 56% | Away ✗ (missed) |
| Buducnost vs Mornar Bar First League (Montenegro) | 3 - 2 | 38% / 29% / 33% | Home ✓ (landed) |
| Din. Zagreb vs Rijeka HNL (Croatia) | 2 - 1 | 76% / 16% / 8% | Home ✓ (landed) |
| Arda vs Levski Sofia First League (Bulgaria) | 1 - 1 | 11% / 23% / 66% | Away ✗ (missed) |
| Sassuolo vs Lazio Serie A (Italy) | 2 - 6 | 6% / 16% / 78% | Away ✓ (landed) |
| AIK vs Elfsborg Allsvenskan (Sweden) | 2 - 2 | 19% / 21% / 60% | Away ✗ (missed) |
| Koper vs Maribor 1. SNL (Slovenia) | 4 - 0 | 32% / 29% / 39% | Away ✗ (missed) |
| AS Roma vs Cagliari Serie A (Italy) | 4 - 2 | 73% / 20% / 7% | Home ✓ (landed) |
| Torino vs Como Serie A (Italy) | 1 - 3 | 20% / 22% / 58% | Away ✓ (landed) |
About these reviews
Every probability above is the prediction our match pages showed before kick-off; predictions stay up after the final whistle, hits and misses alike. Results are settled on the score after 90 minutes. Only matches with our own model's predictions are included; estimates from outside providers are left out. To read the numbers, see how to judge football predictions and how our predictions work.
18+. Predictions are statistical estimates, not betting advice. Please read our responsible gambling page.