Results vs predictions, 2 Nov 2026: favourites won 22 of 39
How our pre-match predictions held up on Monday, 2 November 2026: 22 of 39 favourites won, with goals, both teams to score and suggested bets settled against the final scores. Biggest surprise: Rakow 3 - 1 Pogon Szczecin, rated at 4%.
By Adam from Poland · · Compiled automatically from our published predictions and the final scores
The day in numbers
39 matches with our own pre-match predictions finished on Monday, 2 November 2026, across 22 competitions in 20 countries.
The outcome our model rated most likely came in 22 times out of 39 (56%). On average it gave those picks 57%, so they landed roughly what those probabilities implied.
Biggest surprises
4 results came in at under 20% by our numbers. Outcomes rated that low should still happen roughly one time in five or fewer, so a handful on a busy day is expected.
- Ekstraklasa (Poland): Rakow 3 - 1 Pogon Szczecin. The model rated a win for Rakow at 4% and had a win for Pogon Szczecin as its favourite at 84%.
- Serie A (Italy): Atalanta 0 - 3 Parma. The model rated a win for Parma at 6% and had a win for Atalanta as its favourite at 79%.
- Super Liga (Serbia): Mladost 0 - 1 Radnik. The model rated a win for Radnik at 14% and had a win for Mladost as its favourite at 54%.
- First League (Montenegro): Bokelj 0 - 1 Buducnost. The model rated a win for Buducnost at 15% and had a draw as its favourite at 43%.
Calls that landed
13 favourites rated at 60% or more won, and 11 final scores were among the three exact scores we listed.
- Premier League (Ukraine): Karpaty Lviv 5 - 0 Kudrivka. The model rated a win for Karpaty Lviv at 90%.
- Ligat Ha'al (Israel): Hap. Ramat Gan 0 - 5 Maccabi Tel Aviv. The model rated a win for Maccabi Tel Aviv at 90%.
- Premier League (Russia): Krylya Sovetov 0 - 3 Zenit. The model rated a win for Zenit at 83%.
- Damallsvenskan (Sweden): Hacken W 4 - 1 Kristianstad W. The model rated a win for Hacken W at 79%.
- Ligat Ha'al (Israel): Hapoel Tel Aviv 2 - 1 Maccabi Haifa. The model rated a win for Hapoel Tel Aviv at 79%.
- Premier League (Ukraine): Kryvbas 0 - 2 Dyn. Kyiv was our second most likely exact score, at 9%.
- First League (Montenegro): Mladost DG 0 - 1 Sutjeska was our second most likely exact score, at 24.6%.
- First League (Montenegro): Bokelj 0 - 1 Buducnost was our third most likely exact score, at 10.7%.
- Premier League (Russia): Krylya Sovetov 0 - 3 Zenit was our most likely exact score, at 8.9%.
- Premier League (Ukraine): Karpaty Lviv 5 - 0 Kudrivka was our third most likely exact score, at 7.5%.
- Ekstraklasa (Poland): Zaglebie 1 - 0 Korona Kielce was our most likely exact score, at 17.3%.
- Liga Leumit (Israel): H. Raanana 3 - 2 Kiryat Yam was our second most likely exact score, at 5.9%.
- Super League 1 (Greece): Kalamata 1 - 1 Iraklis 1908 was our most likely exact score, at 10.4%.
- Allsvenskan (Sweden): Mjallby 0 - 0 Kalmar was our most likely exact score, at 17.4%.
- La Liga (Spain): Dep. A Coruna 2 - 1 Osasuna was our second most likely exact score, at 9.7%.
- Primeira Liga (Portugal): Gil Vicente 0 - 0 Vitoria Guimaraes was our most likely exact score, at 24.8%.
Goals
There were 111 goals in 39 matches, 2.8 per game.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 23 matches (59%), against an average model probability of 53%.
Both teams scored in 16 (41%), against an average model probability of 49%.
The highest-scoring game was Inter Turku 4 - 3 Gnistan in the Veikkausliiga - Championship Group (Finland); the model had over 2.5 goals there at 27%.
Suggested bets
62 of the 88 suggested bets we published for these matches landed (70%). They include results, double chances, goal lines and combinations of the two, so the rate mixes very different prices; it is a record, not a profit figure.
By competition
| Competition | Matches | Favourites won | Goals per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Leumit (Israel) | 4 | 4 of 4 | 4.3 |
| Ekstraklasa (Poland) | 3 | 1 of 3 | 3.0 |
| Premier League (Ukraine) | 3 | 2 of 3 | 2.7 |
| Allsvenskan (Sweden) | 2 | 1 of 2 | 1.5 |
| Damallsvenskan (Sweden) | 2 | 1 of 2 | 3.5 |
| First League (Bulgaria) | 2 | 2 of 2 | 2.0 |
| First League (Montenegro) | 2 | 0 of 2 | 1.0 |
| Liga I (Romania) | 2 | 1 of 2 | 2.0 |
| Ligat Ha'al (Israel) | 2 | 2 of 2 | 4.0 |
| Primeira Liga (Portugal) | 2 | 1 of 2 | 0.5 |
| Serie A (Italy) | 2 | 0 of 2 | 4.5 |
| Super League 1 (Greece) | 2 | 1 of 2 | 2.5 |
| Veikkausliiga - Championship Group (Finland) | 2 | 1 of 2 | 5.5 |
All results
Pre-match probabilities for a home win, draw and away win, with the outcome the model rated most likely in bold.
| Match | Score | Home / Draw / Away | Favourite |
|---|---|---|---|
| FK Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Premier League (Ukraine) | 1 - 0 | 32% / 24% / 44% | Away ✗ (missed) |
| Kryvbas vs Dyn. Kyiv Premier League (Ukraine) | 0 - 2 | 14% / 18% / 68% | Away ✓ (landed) |
| Mladost DG vs Sutjeska First League (Montenegro) | 0 - 1 | 15% / 43% / 42% | Draw ✗ (missed) |
| Bokelj vs Buducnost First League (Montenegro) | 0 - 1 | 42% / 43% / 15% | Draw ✗ (missed) |
| Cherno More vs Botev Vratsa First League (Bulgaria) | 1 - 0 | 48% / 22% / 30% | Home ✓ (landed) |
| Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit Premier League (Russia) | 0 - 3 | 6% / 11% / 83% | Away ✓ (landed) |
| FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta Liga I (Romania) | 1 - 2 | 36% / 30% / 34% | Home ✗ (missed) |
| Bravo vs Koper 1. SNL (Slovenia) | 1 - 2 | 25% / 29% / 46% | Away ✓ (landed) |
| Karpaty Lviv vs Kudrivka Premier League (Ukraine) | 5 - 0 | 90% / 7% / 3% | Home ✓ (landed) |
| Atromitos vs Volos Super League 1 (Greece) | 3 - 0 | 45% / 30% / 25% | Home ✓ (landed) |
| Inter Turku vs Gnistan Veikkausliiga - Championship Group (Finland) | 4 - 3 | 34% / 35% / 31% | Draw ✗ (missed) |
| VPS vs HJK Veikkausliiga - Championship Group (Finland) | 0 - 4 | 29% / 27% / 44% | Away ✓ (landed) |
| Valerenga W vs Lyn W Toppserien - Regular season (Norway) | 3 - 0 | 45% / 24% / 31% | Home ✓ (landed) |
| Hacken W vs Kristianstad W Damallsvenskan (Sweden) | 4 - 1 | 79% / 13% / 8% | Home ✓ (landed) |
| Malmo FF W vs Norrkoping W Damallsvenskan (Sweden) | 1 - 1 | 68% / 24% / 8% | Home ✗ (missed) |
| Mladost vs Radnik Super Liga (Serbia) | 0 - 1 | 54% / 32% / 14% | Home ✗ (missed) |
| Radomiak Radom vs Slask Wroclaw Ekstraklasa (Poland) | 3 - 1 | 33% / 26% / 41% | Away ✗ (missed) |
| Zaglebie vs Korona Kielce Ekstraklasa (Poland) | 1 - 0 | 52% / 30% / 18% | Home ✓ (landed) |
| Genclerbirligi vs Alanyaspor Süper Lig (Turkey) | 5 - 0 | 28% / 32% / 40% | Away ✗ (missed) |
| Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Ironi Modiin Liga Leumit (Israel) | 3 - 2 | 60% / 19% / 21% | Home ✓ (landed) |
| H. Raanana vs Kiryat Yam Liga Leumit (Israel) | 3 - 2 | 67% / 15% / 18% | Home ✓ (landed) |
| Maccabi Jaffa vs Hapoel Kfar Saba Liga Leumit (Israel) | 0 - 3 | 18% / 20% / 62% | Away ✓ (landed) |
| SC Ashdod vs Bnei Yehuda Liga Leumit (Israel) | 3 - 1 | 39% / 33% / 28% | Home ✓ (landed) |
| Arda vs Septemvri Sofia First League (Bulgaria) | 2 - 1 | 67% / 22% / 11% | Home ✓ (landed) |
| Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Serie A (Italy) | 2 - 4 | 50% / 19% / 31% | Home ✗ (missed) |
| Kalamata vs Iraklis 1908 Super League 1 (Greece) | 1 - 1 | 47% / 24% / 29% | Home ✗ (missed) |
| GAIS vs AIK Allsvenskan (Sweden) | 2 - 1 | 46% / 35% / 19% | Home ✓ (landed) |
| Mjallby vs Kalmar Allsvenskan (Sweden) | 0 - 0 | 36% / 34% / 30% | Home ✗ (missed) |
| Sonderjyske vs FC Copenhagen Superliga (Denmark) | 0 - 2 | 10% / 12% / 78% | Away ✓ (landed) |
| Hap. Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Ligat Ha'al (Israel) | 0 - 5 | 3% / 7% / 90% | Away ✓ (landed) |
| U. Cluj vs FCSB Liga I (Romania) | 1 - 0 | 52% / 22% / 26% | Home ✓ (landed) |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa Ligat Ha'al (Israel) | 2 - 1 | 79% / 15% / 6% | Home ✓ (landed) |
| Rakow vs Pogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa (Poland) | 3 - 1 | 4% / 12% / 84% | Away ✗ (missed) |
| Atalanta vs Parma Serie A (Italy) | 0 - 3 | 79% / 15% / 6% | Home ✗ (missed) |
| Lorient vs Brest Ligue 1 (France) | 0 - 2 | 36% / 33% / 31% | Home ✗ (missed) |
| Dep. A Coruna vs Osasuna La Liga (Spain) | 2 - 1 | 69% / 19% / 12% | Home ✓ (landed) |
| Newcastle vs Everton Premier League (England) | 0 - 1 | 41% / 30% / 29% | Home ✗ (missed) |
| Benfica vs Alverca Primeira Liga (Portugal) | 1 - 0 | 73% / 15% / 12% | Home ✓ (landed) |
| Gil Vicente vs Vitoria Guimaraes Primeira Liga (Portugal) | 0 - 0 | 47% / 37% / 16% | Home ✗ (missed) |
About these reviews
Every probability above is the prediction our match pages showed before kick-off; predictions stay up after the final whistle, hits and misses alike. Results are settled on the score after 90 minutes. Only matches with our own model's predictions are included; estimates from outside providers are left out. To read the numbers, see how to judge football predictions and how our predictions work.
18+. Predictions are statistical estimates, not betting advice. Please read our responsible gambling page.